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MarketGauge Pro / Due Diligence
Due Diligence

Evidence should answer the next question—not create three more.

Qualified firms may request detailed model results, the signal records used to calculate them, the current methodology and model-version history, and supporting records and calculation review.

Evidence classes

A chain of evidence with clear boundaries.

No single label should blur what was reviewed, what period it covers or what the result represents.

Methodology & version history

Each current model version has defined rules, an implementation date, approved changes and stated limitations. For the August 2025 NQ3 and Large Cap Leadership versions, the change record includes enhanced TSI use, polynomial-based calculations, a revised rotation cadence and separation between calculation and scheduled implementation.

Contemporaneous signal records

MarketGauge.com and MG Pro distribute the same model signal process, and MGAM executes the applicable signals in managed portfolios. Retained instructions establish what was communicated, when it was communicated and which version was operating, including documented MarketGauge.com signal history predating MG Pro’s launch.

Supporting verification

In 2023, Absolute Performance Verification independently validated the historical MarketGauge.com signal records covered by its report. MarketGauge continues to use the same signal-distribution process while refining its investment models. The professional package identifies the reviewed models, periods and procedures and distinguishes that review from any later internal review or MGAM account-performance record.

Institutional use

Professional adoption demonstrates real workflow use; it does not verify returns or constitute an endorsement of every claim.

Classification principle: The shared signals document actual model decisions. Returns calculated under model assumptions are signal-based model performance (hypothetical returns); MGAM account returns use actual managed-account records. MarketGauge cannot verify retail or Pro clients’ fill prices, so their achieved returns are not represented by the model series.
Qualitative due diligence

Quantitative evidence is necessary. It is not sufficient.

A professional review should be able to answer why the process exists, what it believes, where it is vulnerable, who should implement it and which responsibilities remain with the receiving firm.

Why this exists

Professional teams need an adaptive investment process—not another undifferentiated data feed.

MarketGauge Pro turns market regime, leadership and risk evidence into research, licensed models and documented portfolio applications.

What we believe

Concentration can be disciplined.

Focused exposure can express leadership when the mandate also defines sizing, stops, targets, cash, exposure limits and review rules.

What differs

The evidence chain continues into implementation.

Methodology, version history, signal records, result classification, benchmark, drawdown, liquidity and execution responsibilities are reviewed together.

Works well when

Leadership and regimes are sufficiently persistent.

Clear trends and differentiated decision drivers give the models useful evidence and a defined portfolio role.

Challenged when

Markets reverse abruptly or leadership fragments.

Whipsaws, gaps, implementation delays and changing correlations can reduce or reverse the intended benefit. No model removes loss.

Best fit—and not fit

Best for firms with governance and implementation capability.

The receiving firm must retain suitability, execution and fiduciary responsibility. It is not a fit for a firm seeking outsourced trade execution or an unqualified performance promise.

What we want to be known forTransparent, challengeable research that survives the investment-committee process.
Ten-year directionBroader evidence and better technology—without blurring who is responsible for the end client.
Controlled professional package

What a qualified firm can review.

The package is matched to the intended use and can include methodology, signals, version history, classified results, risk analysis and supporting verification.

Methodology & version log

An overview of the investment process, approved changes, implementation requirements, version history and material limitations. Public materials identify the nature of material changes but do not disclose proprietary formulas, TSI thresholds, polynomial calculations, exact rotation counts, calculation dates or implementation schedules.

Signal-delivery records

Contemporaneous production instructions and delivery history, where relevant.

Results & supporting verification

Model-level or blend-level results, result classification, period, benchmark, fees, pricing assumptions, production version, signal records, calculation methodology and stated verification scope—provided on request.

Implementation guide

Trading responsibility, cadence, restrictions, supervision and receiving-firm workflow.

Risk disclosures

Concentration, cash, stop, scaling, turnover, liquidity and hypothetical-result risks.

Institutional references

Institutional references are available upon request, subject to client permission and confidentiality requirements.

Model and blend history

Evaluate the current process and its documented evolution.

Current methodology is evaluated alongside dated material changes and the earlier record; a revision does not automatically erase or restart history.

Company milestones
YearBusinessWhat began
1997MarketGauge PublishingResearch, education and tools delivered to self-directed investors.
2013MarketGauge Asset ManagementThe advisory business for managed portfolios.
2023MarketGauge ProThe professional research and model-licensing business.

These dates describe the businesses. Each model, model version and portfolio blend has its own start date and performance history.

We adapted models as market conditions and the global environment changed. The professional package explains each material change, its purpose and implementation date, and identifies the results before and after it. Earlier periods remain available with the relevant version clearly identified.

A portfolio blend has its own allocation, rebalance and version history. Component model records do not equal the blend record, and a backfilled combination remains hypothetical. Backtests, contemporaneous-signal model returns and actual managed-account results remain distinct evidence types.

Understand our history and performance
Research-to-record control: Outlook tactical observations—including Real Motion squeezes, confirmed mean reversion and Triple Play confirmation—remain separate from model and blend records unless a documented production rule and dated instruction incorporate them.

Verification scope and execution limits.

Verifier credentials: Wesley Western, founder of Absolute Performance Verification, is listed on the GIPS Standards Interpretations Subcommittee. This credential does not imply MarketGauge GIPS compliance or CFA Institute endorsement.

Execution prices can be more or less favorable than the model’s reference prices on any individual trade. Account returns also reflect fees, timing, allocations and cash flows. MarketGauge cannot verify subscriber or Pro client fill prices.

Review the signal history and performance distinctions